So ... that Washington Post/ABC poll that's so horrible for the Democrats going into this year's midterms? Let's look at some of its results:
Overall, which party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years?Yes, this is being called a bad poll for Democrats. It would be understandable if you wondered what would constitute a good poll for Democrats.
* Democrats by 6.
Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling The economy? (half sample)
* Democrats by 3.
Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling Health care? (half sample)
* Democrats by 8.
Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling Immigration issues? (half sample)
* Democrats by 6.
Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling Helping the middle class? (half sample)
* Democrats by 20.
Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling Issues that are especially important to women? (half sample)
* Democrats by 30.
Which political party is closer to your own opinion on the issue of abortion, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)?
* Democrats by 8.
Which political party is closer to your own opinion on the issue of gay marriage, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)?
* Democrats by 14.
Which political party is closer to your own opinion on the issue of whether or not to raise the minimum wage, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)?
* Democrats by 16.
Which political party is closer to your own opinion on the issue of global warming, also known as climate change, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)?
* Democrats by 18.
Unfortunately for Democrats, President Obama gets weak numbers (41% approval, 52% disapproval). He gets lousy marks on the economy (42%/54%), Russia and Ukraine (34%/46%), and health care (37%/57%).
But ponder that last data point for a second -- Obama is at –20 on health care, but Democrats are favored over Republicans on health care by 8 points (see above). That tells me that a lot of people don't think Obama is doing a great job, but still prefer a Democratic approach to health care. (Another new poll, from Kaiser, says 58% of Americans want Obamacare improved and only 35% want it repealed and replaced).
Yes, Democrats are in some trouble this year, based on the Post/ABC poll -- Republican voters are much more motivated to vote, and Republicans get higher marks on spending, the deficit, and guns.
Much is being made of this question:
(Among registered voters) Do you think it's more important (to have the Democrats in charge of Congress, to help support Obama's policies), or (to have the Republicans in charge of Congress, to act as a check on Obama's policies)?But elsewhere in the same poll, Democrats actually have a tiny lead on the generic ballot, 45%/44%.
* Republicans 53%, Democrats 39%
So when you mention Obama, the six-year blues kick in and voters get restless. When you mention the two parties generically, Democratic ideas mostly still win. That's where we are.
